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Option Trading And Using Market Indicators

by David Baxwell

If you choose to get involved in option trading, then you will have a lot of information at your fingertips that will help you make your investment decisions. There are technical analysis and commentaries from investment professionals that are available to help you build your portfolio to fit your personal needs and desires. Keep in mind that despite the plethora of information, stock options trading is very complex and should not be approached lightly when making investment decisions.

To determine whether or not a stock price will travel above or below the strike price for a call or a put in the business of option trading, investors often use technical analysis, which involves not only past performance of the stock but analytical determinations as to what the future performance of the stock will be. While technical analysis and charts may be helpful to investors for many reasons; this type of analysis is often faulty and unreliable.

In accordance with the market's nature, attempting to nail down stock price moves by technically analyzing averages, volume changes, as well as other standards is, at best, an enormously dubious science. Due to the fact that both current and possible future events are not taken into consideration when it comes to the technical analysis aspect of option trading, in a sense, many of the working characteristics of technical analysis cannot be considered any more than witchery, on account of the fact that the underlying basis of the analysis tend to get quite foggy.

As an alternative, many investors turn to the use of other indicators and indicator-based analysis tools when making some determinations in the option markets. As indicators take a more diagnostic view of the market, often working to both take analysis of the market as well as provide some guidance for the future movement of the market, they can provide a much better means of analyzing future trends as they consider both the past and the future in their diagnostics.

The Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) indicator is one of the most usefuls tools for the option trading investor. The indicator analyzes the movement and difference between a company's 50 day movement average and 200 day movement average. While in the past this was a very strong analysis tool, today it is simply for observation.

After using it enough it was found that the MACD indicator was actually counterproductive to option trading because it suggested that one buy before prices dropped or selling before they rose. This event is now known as whipsaw and many technically based tools are prone to produce this result. Now this tool is usually just used to gauge how the market is doing and is not used as a hard and fast rule of what action should be taken.

Stock options trading is a complex and intimidating area of investing, but the beginning investor has a wealth of information to look to when trying to take advantage of opportunities in this field. Technical analysis is generally used in option trading by investors who are trying to predict if a stock will rise above or fall below the strike price for their respective call or put. The most useful tool for the investor is the MACD indicator, or Moving Average Convergence and Divergence. This measures the movement of a company's 50 day moving average versus their 200 day moving average and analyzes the difference between the two.

Published June 16th, 2008

Filed in Finance